Here's what caught my eye in research over the past week:
- Huseynov (with ungated earlier version here) finds that students reduce their confidence regarding their future earning prospects after exposure to AI debates, and this effect is more pronounced after reading discussion excerpts with a pessimistic tone (but will their actual experience match their expectations, pessimistic or otherwise?)
- Pipke (open access) studies 7,000 soccer penalty shootouts and 74,000 kicks and finds no evidence of a first-mover or second-mover advantage in winning probability
- Böheim, Freudenthaler, and Lackner (open access) find that women’s NCAA basketball teams with a male head coach are 6 percentage points more likely to take risk than women’s teams with a female head coach
- Clemens and Strain (with ungated earlier version here) study the interplay between minimum wages and union membership, and find that each dollar in minimum wage increase predicts a 5 percent increase (0.3 pp) in the likelihood of union membership among individuals ages 16–40, which may explain why unions are in favour of minimum wage increases
- Yang and Zhou (open access) find that, after controlling for quality as well as author-, paper-, and journal-specific attributes, publications in economics with a Chinese first author receive 14% fewer citations
- Abdulla and Mourelatos (open access) find that Russian migrants are significantly less likely than local Kazakhs, local Russians, or Kyrgyz migrants to receive job interview invitations in Kazakhstan, based on data collected after the start of the Russia-Ukraine War
In other news, I had two articles published in The Conversation this week, on the New Zealand Budget:
- This article, co-authored with Michael Ryan, discusses the difficulty of economic forecasting and why this 2025 Budget was particularly tight
- This article gave my quick take on the Budget (since it was published only a couple of hours after the Budget was announced), as well as summarising the key Budget announcements in each area
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